{"categories":["Stochastic Calculus"],"contentHtml":"<h3>Week 10</h3><h4>Lecture Notes</h4><h5>Midterm Review</h5><h5>Multi-Dimensional Girsanov</h5><p>The Girsanov states that</p><p><math><mi>𝑍</mi><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><mi>𝑡</mi><mo form=\"postfix\" stretchy=\"false\">)</mo><mo>=</mo><mo form=\"prefix\" lspace=\"0em\" rspace=\"0em\">exp</mo><mrow><mo>(</mo><mrow><mo>−</mo><msubsup><mo form=\"prefix\">∫</mo><mn>0</mn><mi>𝑡</mi></msubsup><mi mathvariant=\"normal\">Θ</mi><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><mi>𝑢</mi><mo form=\"postfix\" stretchy=\"false\">)</mo><mi>𝑑</mi><mi>𝑊</mi><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><mi>𝑢</mi><mo stretchy=\"false\">)</mo></mrow><mo>)</mo></mrow></math></p><p>The norm of a process is the Euclidean Norm: <math><mo form=\"infix\" lspace=\"0em\">∥</mo><mi mathvariant=\"normal\">Θ</mi><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><mi>𝑡</mi><mo form=\"postfix\" stretchy=\"false\">)</mo><mo rspace=\"0em\">∥</mo><mo lspace=\"0em\">=</mo><msqrt><msubsup><mo lspace=\"0em\">∑</mo><mrow><mi>𝑗</mi><mo lspace=\"0em\" rspace=\"0em\">=</mo><mn>1</mn></mrow><mi>𝑑</mi></msubsup><msubsup><mi mathvariant=\"normal\">Θ</mi><mi>𝑗</mi><mn>2</mn></msubsup><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><mi>𝑡</mi><mo stretchy=\"false\">)</mo></msqrt></math></p><p>And so the square of the norm is just that.</p><p>I have my Brownian motion</p><p><math><mover accent=\"true\"><mi>𝑊</mi><mo>̃</mo></mover><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><mi>𝑡</mi><mo form=\"postfix\" stretchy=\"false\">)</mo><mo>=</mo><mi>𝑊</mi><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><mi>𝑡</mi><mo form=\"postfix\" stretchy=\"false\">)</mo><mo>+</mo><msubsup><mo form=\"prefix\" lspace=\"0em\">∫</mo><mn>0</mn><mi>𝑡</mi></msubsup><mi mathvariant=\"normal\">Θ</mi><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><mi>𝑢</mi><mo form=\"postfix\" stretchy=\"false\">)</mo><mi>𝑑</mi><mi>𝑢</mi></math></p><p>And this is true for each dimension of a Brownian motion.</p><p>Once I’m in this fixed space, let’s take a martingale <math><mi>𝑀</mi><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><mi>𝑡</mi><mo stretchy=\"false\">)</mo></math>. There is an adapted dimensional process <math><mi mathvariant=\"normal\">Γ</mi><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><mi>𝑢</mi><mo stretchy=\"false\">)</mo></math> such that</p><p><math><mi>𝑀</mi><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><mi>𝑡</mi><mo form=\"postfix\" stretchy=\"false\">)</mo><mo>=</mo><mi>𝑀</mi><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><mn>0</mn><mo form=\"postfix\" stretchy=\"false\">)</mo><mo>+</mo><msubsup><mo form=\"prefix\" lspace=\"0em\">∫</mo><mn>0</mn><mi>𝑡</mi></msubsup><mi mathvariant=\"normal\">Γ</mi><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><mi>𝑢</mi><mo form=\"postfix\" stretchy=\"false\">)</mo><mspace width=\"0.1667em\"></mspace><mi>𝑑</mi><mi>𝑊</mi><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><mi>𝑢</mi><mo stretchy=\"false\">)</mo></math></p><p>nonrandom initial constant plus Ito integral</p><p>There has to be vector under <math><mover accent=\"true\"><mi>ℙ</mi><mo>̃</mo></mover></math> that satisfies this.</p><p>We already proved that any Ito integral with respect to a martingale is a martingale. Importantly, we can see that this is an Ito integral because we are evaluating from the left point, not mid or right point.</p><h5>Multidimensional Market Model</h5><p>This is a representation of this model. We are going to assume we have <math><mi>𝑚</mi></math> stocks, and <math><mi>𝑑</mi></math> different sources of noise. We’re not saying which one we have more of. The valuation of a golf club would be based on commodities like wood and iron, which are two different sources of noise. We’re going to set it up in such a way that every source of noise <em>could</em>, but doesn’t <em>have to</em>, impact your stock.</p><p>The value of Nintendo doesn’t care about fluctuations in the wood commodity. The coefficient of that source of noise would be 0.</p><p>The drift <math><mi>𝛼</mi></math> is applied to the stock, and then we will create the cov matrix based on the sources of noise which is applied to the stock.</p><p><math><mi>𝑑</mi><msub><mi>𝑆</mi><mi>𝑖</mi></msub><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><mi>𝑡</mi><mo form=\"postfix\" stretchy=\"false\">)</mo><mo>=</mo><msub><mi>𝛼</mi><mi>𝑖</mi></msub><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><mi>𝑡</mi><mo form=\"postfix\" stretchy=\"false\">)</mo><msub><mi>𝑆</mi><mi>𝑖</mi></msub><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><mi>𝑡</mi><mo form=\"postfix\" stretchy=\"false\">)</mo><mi>𝑑</mi><mi>𝑡</mi><mo>+</mo><msub><mi>𝑆</mi><mi>𝑖</mi></msub><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><mi>𝑡</mi><mo form=\"postfix\" stretchy=\"false\">)</mo><msubsup><mo form=\"prefix\">∑</mo><mrow><mi>𝑗</mi><mo lspace=\"0em\" rspace=\"0em\">=</mo><mn>1</mn></mrow><mi>𝑑</mi></msubsup><msub><mi>𝜎</mi><mrow><mi>𝑖</mi><mi>𝑗</mi></mrow></msub><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><mi>𝑡</mi><mo form=\"postfix\" stretchy=\"false\">)</mo><mi>𝑑</mi><msub><mi>𝑊</mi><mi>𝑗</mi></msub><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><mi>𝑡</mi><mo form=\"postfix\" stretchy=\"false\">)</mo><mo>,</mo><mi>𝑖</mi><mo>=</mo><mn>1</mn><mo>,</mo><mi>…</mi><mo>,</mo><mi>𝑚</mi></math> Are these Brownian motions independent? We can find their covariance by</p><p><math><mtext>Cov</mtext><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><msub><mi>𝐵</mi><mi>𝑖</mi></msub><mo>,</mo><msub><mi>𝐵</mi><mi>𝑘</mi></msub><mo form=\"postfix\" stretchy=\"false\">)</mo><mo>=</mo><mi>𝔼</mi><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">[</mo><msub><mi>𝐵</mi><mi>𝑖</mi></msub><msub><mi>𝐵</mi><mi>𝑘</mi></msub><mo form=\"postfix\" stretchy=\"false\">]</mo><mo>−</mo><mi>𝔼</mi><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">[</mo><msub><mi>𝐵</mi><mi>𝑖</mi></msub><mo form=\"postfix\" stretchy=\"false\">]</mo><mi>𝔼</mi><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">[</mo><msub><mi>𝐵</mi><mi>𝑘</mi></msub><mo stretchy=\"false\">]</mo></math></p><p>We know that these are Brownian motions, so their expectation is 0.</p><p><math><mo form=\"infix\" lspace=\"0em\">=</mo><mi>𝔼</mi><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">[</mo><msub><mi>𝐵</mi><mi>𝑖</mi></msub><msub><mi>𝐵</mi><mi>𝑘</mi></msub><mo stretchy=\"false\">]</mo></math></p><p>Since we don’t know how they’re related, the best way to approach this is via Ito decomposition.</p><p><math><mi>𝑑</mi><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><msub><mi>𝐵</mi><mi>𝑖</mi></msub><msub><mi>𝐵</mi><mi>𝑘</mi></msub><mo form=\"postfix\" stretchy=\"false\">)</mo><mo>=</mo><msub><mi>𝐵</mi><mi>𝑖</mi></msub><mi>𝑑</mi><msub><mi>𝐵</mi><mi>𝑖</mi></msub><mo>+</mo><msub><mi>𝐵</mi><mi>𝑘</mi></msub><mi>𝑑</mi><msub><mi>𝐵</mi><mi>𝑖</mi></msub><mo>+</mo><mi>𝑑</mi><msub><mi>𝐵</mi><mi>𝑖</mi></msub><mi>𝑑</mi><msub><mi>𝐵</mi><mi>𝑘</mi></msub></math></p><p>Definition of risk-neutral: <math><mover accent=\"true\"><mi>ℙ</mi><mo>̃</mo></mover></math> and <math><mi>ℙ</mi></math> have to be equivalent.</p><p>And every single discounted stock price <math><mi>𝐷</mi><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><mi>𝑡</mi><mo form=\"postfix\" stretchy=\"false\">)</mo><msub><mi>𝑆</mi><mi>𝑖</mi></msub><mo form=\"prefix\" stretchy=\"false\">(</mo><mi>𝑡</mi><mo stretchy=\"false\">)</mo></math> must be a martingale.</p><p>When you rearrange this, you get</p><p><math><msub><mi>𝛼</mi><mi>𝑖</mi></msub><mo>−</mo><mi>𝑅</mi><mo>=</mo><msubsup><mo form=\"prefix\" lspace=\"0em\">∑</mo><mrow><mi>𝑗</mi><mo lspace=\"0em\" rspace=\"0em\">=</mo><mn>1</mn></mrow><mi>𝑑</mi></msubsup><msub><mi>𝜎</mi><mrow><mi>𝑖</mi><mi>𝑗</mi></mrow></msub><msub><mi mathvariant=\"normal\">Θ</mi><mi>𝑗</mi></msub></math></p><p>And this is a system of <math><mi>𝑚</mi></math> equations with <math><mi>𝑑</mi></math> unknowns (dimensions).</p><h5>Fundamental Theorem</h5><p>The expectation of an indicator is the same as the probability measure of the function being indicated.</p><p>Because prices are unique, you can only have a unique risk-neutral probability measure on them.</p>","contentSourceFormat":"typst","contentTypst":"== Week 10\n<week-10>\n=== Lecture Notes\n<lecture-notes>\n==== Midterm Review\n<midterm-review>\n==== Multi-Dimensional Girsanov\n<multi-dimensional-girsanov>\nThe Girsanov states that\n\n$Z\\(t\\)= exp (- integral_0^t Theta \\( u \\) d W \\( u \\))$\n\nThe norm of a process is the Euclidean Norm: $parallel Theta\\(t\\)parallel = sqrt(sum_(j = 1)^d Theta_j^2\\(t\\))$\n\nAnd so the square of the norm is just that.\n\nI have my Brownian motion\n\n$tilde(W)\\(t\\)= W\\(t\\)+ integral_0^t Theta\\(u\\)d u$\n\nAnd this is true for each dimension of a Brownian motion.\n\nOnce I'm in this fixed space, let's take a martingale $M\\(t\\)$. There is an adapted dimensional process $Gamma\\(u\\)$ such that\n\n$M\\(t\\)= M\\(0\\)+ integral_0^t Gamma\\(u\\)thin d W\\(u\\)$\n\nnonrandom initial constant plus Ito integral\n\nThere has to be vector under $tilde(bb(P))$ that satisfies this.\n\nWe already proved that any Ito integral with respect to a martingale is a martingale. Importantly, we can see that this is an Ito integral because we are evaluating from the left point, not mid or right point.\n\n==== Multidimensional Market Model\n<multidimensional-market-model>\nThis is a representation of this model. We are going to assume we have $m$ stocks, and $d$ different sources of noise. We're not saying which one we have more of. The valuation of a golf club would be based on commodities like wood and iron, which are two different sources of noise. We're going to set it up in such a way that every source of noise #emph[could], but doesn't #emph[have to], impact your stock.\n\nThe value of Nintendo doesn't care about fluctuations in the wood commodity. The coefficient of that source of noise would be 0.\n\nThe drift $alpha$ is applied to the stock, and then we will create the cov matrix based on the sources of noise which is applied to the stock.\n\n$d S_i\\(t\\)= alpha_i\\(t\\)S_i\\(t\\)d t + S_i\\(t\\)sum_(j = 1)^d sigma_(i j)\\(t\\)d W_j\\(t\\)\\,i = 1\\,dots.h\\,m$ Are these Brownian motions independent? We can find their covariance by\n\n$\"Cov\"\\(B_i\\,B_k\\)= bb(E)\\[B_i B_k\\]- bb(E)\\[B_i\\]bb(E)\\[B_k\\]$\n\nWe know that these are Brownian motions, so their expectation is 0.\n\n$= bb(E)\\[B_i B_k\\]$\n\nSince we don't know how they're related, the best way to approach this is via Ito decomposition.\n\n$d\\(B_i B_k\\)= B_i d B_i + B_k d B_i + d B_i d B_k$\n\nDefinition of risk-neutral: $tilde(bb(P))$ and $bb(P)$ have to be equivalent.\n\nAnd every single discounted stock price $D\\(t\\)S_i\\(t\\)$ must be a martingale.\n\nWhen you rearrange this, you get\n\n$alpha_i - R = sum_(j = 1)^d sigma_(i j) Theta_j$\n\nAnd this is a system of $m$ equations with $d$ unknowns (dimensions).\n\n==== Fundamental Theorem\n<fundamental-theorem>\nThe expectation of an indicator is the same as the probability measure of the function being indicated.\n\nBecause prices are unique, you can only have a unique risk-neutral probability measure on them.","dataUrl":"https://sharifhsn.dev/api/posts/multidimensional-market-models.json","date":"2024-11-14","datePublished":"2024-11-14","description":"The Girsanov states that The norm of a process is the Euclidean Norm: ∥ Θ ( 𝑡 ) ∥ = ∑ 𝑗 = 1 𝑑 Θ 𝑗 2 ( 𝑡 ) And so the square of the norm is just that.","site":"https://sharifhsn.dev","slug":"multidimensional-market-models","source":"FE-610 | Stochastic Calculus","sourceUrl":null,"tags":["Stochastic Calculus","Market Models","Girsanov"],"title":"Multidimensional Market Models","url":"https://sharifhsn.dev/blog/multidimensional-market-models/","version":"1","wordCount":589}